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The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.Russia said it had cracked down on Ukrainian troops in many places, saying that the situation on the front line was tense. On the 12th local time, the Russian Defense Ministry reported that in the past day, Russian tactical aviation, missile troops, artillery, etc. had cracked down on the assembly areas of Ukrainian troops' effective forces and equipment and a production workshop of Ukrainian attack drones in 137 areas. In addition, Russian troops also controlled the "Zarija" settlement in Donetsk. According to the circular, the Russian armed forces continued to defeat the Ukrainian armed forces in Kursk, Russia, and regained control of the "New Ivanovka" settlement in Kursk. On the same day, the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces issued a war report, saying that as of that afternoon, there were 138 battles in the front line, and the situation on the front line remained tense, mainly in Kulahovo, Pokrovsk and Freimut-Fsk areas. The Ukrainian air force, missile units and artillery units destroyed many Russian military personnel assembly areas and control points. In the Kursk region, the Ukrainian army repelled nine Russian attacks.Broadcom's share price rose more than 10% after the US market closed. In the news, Broadcom's fourth-quarter profit was better than expected, and the demand for artificial intelligence boosted growth.

Fitch: It is estimated that the sales growth rate of food, beverage, tobacco and consumer goods will be low in single digits in 2025.New york gold futures fell by 1.8%, silver futures fell by 4.2%, and mining stock Cordelen fell by 6.6%. In late new york on Thursday (December 12), spot gold fell by 1.36% to $2,681.37 per ounce, showing a downward trend throughout the day. It was as high as $2,726.23 at 09:00 Beijing time, and the US PPI was released at 21:30. Spot silver fell 2.91% to $30.9710 per ounce. COMEX gold futures fell 1.81% to $2,706.70 per ounce, with an intraday trading range of $2,761.30-$2,696.70. COMEX silver futures fell 4.19% to $31.5850 an ounce. COMEX copper futures fell 0.50% to $4.2420/lb.Trump: The money saved by automation is far less than the pain, injury and loss it has caused to American workers.

Shanghai's "trade-in" has driven consumption to exceed 10 billion yuan. According to the statistics of Shanghai Jiaodian Household Appliances Business Association, as of December 11, Shanghai's household appliances consumption subsidy activities have achieved remarkable results, and the number of people participating in the trade-in of household appliances in Shanghai has exceeded 3.57 million. The sales of eight categories of household appliances, including air conditioners, computers and refrigerators, covered by the state subsidy increased by 30%-40% year-on-year. During the implementation of the policy, the cumulative amount of subsidies reached 1.165 billion yuan, and the consumption of household appliances and household products by all platforms exceeded 10 billion yuan. (Liberation Daily)International precious metal futures closed down sharply, COMEX gold futures fell by 1.87%, COMEX gold futures fell by 1.87% to $2,705.2 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures fell by 4.25% to $31.565 per ounce.Hong Kong's IPO is expected to return to the top three in the world next year, and signs of recovery of Hong Kong's IPO are beginning to appear this year: Hong Kong's capital market has ushered in a strong wave of "listing in Hong Kong", from upstarts such as Horizon to giants such as Midea, SF Express, Hengrui, Haitian and Mao Geping, and many mainland enterprises have turned their attention to Hong Kong. Some institutions predict that Hong Kong is expected to return to the fourth place in global IPO financing this year and the top three in the world in 2025. "When I was in Hong Kong, I might have to see three or five companies a day. This is no exaggeration." Chen Yiting, chief executive of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, said in an interview recently that "many market participants and investment bankers are quite optimistic about Hong Kong's IPO market in 2025." (Securities Times)